Bologna vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bologna v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals
Bologna vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Bologna 2-1 Borussia Dortmund — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna edged past Borussia Dortmund 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Bologna made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Bologna had 52% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 48%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 2.02 to 0.99.
What was the final score of Bologna vs Borussia Dortmund?
Bologna 2-1 Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bologna vs Borussia Dortmund?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bologna 37%, draw 28%, Borussia Dortmund 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.