Al Akhdoud 2-2 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 21 Jan 2026

📅21/01/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
27%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.55
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.26
6+ Goals
7%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
34%
-7.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 37%
-27% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.93/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.54
-50% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.6 Crosses 19.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 0.73
52% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
324 Passes 299
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
20.10.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-1 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
01.03.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
01.09.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
08.02.2023 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD1
07.09.2022 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
2-2
AWAY Al Riyadh
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
303 Passes 268
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Akhdoud and Al Riyadh couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Akhdoud at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 52% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 48%, shots finished 9-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Riyadh led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Akhdoud and 1.00 for Al Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Riyadh?

Al Akhdoud 2-2 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 21/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Akhdoud win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 41%, draw 32%, Al Riyadh 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Akhdoud) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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