Damac FC 1-2 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 21 Jan 2026

📅21/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
9.57
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
75%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.6
2-3 Goals
36%
2.02
4-5 Goals
32%
2.51
6+ Goals
13%
5.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
34%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
7%
+3.5pp
14%
Draw
14%
+0.1pp
75%
Away Win
79%
-3.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.6pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Damac FC EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 84%
+15% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
0.97/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/0.79
+8% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -10%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 474 · 86%
12.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.5
10.9 Crosses 24.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Damac FC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Al Nassr
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.84 xG 1.81
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
285 Passes 472
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2025 Damac FC Damac FC 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
29.11.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-0 HT 1-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
05.04.2024 Damac FC Damac FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
21.10.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 0-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
25.02.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
10.09.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 1-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Damac FC
1-2
AWAY Al Nassr
0.77 xG 1.59
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
298 Passes 488
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Damac FC vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr squeezed past Damac FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Damac FC had 39% of the ball to Al Nassr's 61%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.77 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Damac FC and 2.17 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Damac FC vs Al Nassr?

Damac FC 1-2 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 21/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Damac FC vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Damac FC 11%, draw 14%, Al Nassr 75%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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