Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle Jets v Brisbane Roar — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
4-0
HT 0-0
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
Newcastle Jets 3-1 Brisbane Roar — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle Jets saw off Brisbane Roar 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Newcastle Jets found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Newcastle Jets had 47% of the ball to Brisbane Roar's 53%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.12 to 1.32.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Newcastle Jets and 1.17 for Brisbane Roar.
What was the final score of Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar?
Newcastle Jets 3-1 Brisbane Roar in the Australia - A-League on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets 41%, draw 23%, Brisbane Roar 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle Jets), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.