Hobro IK 1-0 Vendsyssel FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.95
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.56
6+ Goals
12%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 29% vs market 26.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.99
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
14%
4.85
X/2
8%
6.79
X/X
11%
4.5
2/1
10%
26.0
2/2
13%
5.02
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 32%
-17% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.32/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.48
-31% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
23.0 Crosses 22.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hobro IK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vendsyssel FF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.61 xG 1.16
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
299 Passes 373
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.08.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 0-3 HT 0-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
13.05.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 4-1 HT 0-1 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
28.04.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 3-1 HT 0-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
16.03.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-1 HT 1-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
13.08.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-1 HT 0-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
19.02.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 3-1 HT 1-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hobro IK
1-0
AWAY Vendsyssel FF
1.41 xG 0.37
71% Ball Possession 29%
20 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
486 Passes 132
87% Pass Accuracy 58%
40 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hobro IK vs Vendsyssel FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hobro IK edged past Vendsyssel FF 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hobro IK as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hobro IK had 71% of the ball to Vendsyssel FF's 29%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.41 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hobro IK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hobro IK and 1.17 for Vendsyssel FF.

What was the final score of Hobro IK vs Vendsyssel FF?

Hobro IK 1-0 Vendsyssel FF in the Denmark 1st Division on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hobro IK vs Vendsyssel FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hobro IK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hobro IK 46%, draw 27%, Vendsyssel FF 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hobro IK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hobro IK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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