Swansea City vs Bristol City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Swansea City v Bristol City — Team-Based Signals
Swansea City vs Bristol City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Swansea City 1-0 Bristol City — Actual Match Statistics
Swansea City nicked a narrow win over Bristol City 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Swansea City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, Bristol City saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.62 to 0.75.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Swansea City against 1.17 for Bristol City.
Swansea City vs Bristol City Result & Final Score
Swansea City 1 - 0 Bristol City in the England - Championship on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Swansea City vs Bristol City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 48%, draw 27%, Bristol City 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.