Ashton United vs Stockton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Ashton United v Stockton Town — Team-Based Signals
Ashton United vs Stockton Town Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Ashton United 1-2 Stockton Town — Actual Match Statistics
Stockton Town edged past Ashton United 2-1 on the road. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stockton Town as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Stockton Town saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 9-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ashton United had the better of it with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Ashton United against 1.00 for Stockton Town.
Ashton United vs Stockton Town Result & Final Score
Ashton United 1 - 2 Stockton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Ashton United vs Stockton Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 28%, draw 26%, Stockton Town 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockton Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.