Ashton United vs Stockton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ashton United v Stockton Town — Team-Based Signals
Ashton United vs Stockton Town Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Ashton United 1-2 Stockton Town — Actual Match Statistics
Stockton Town edged past Ashton United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stockton Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Ashton United had 46% of the ball to Stockton Town's 54%, shots finished 9-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ashton United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ashton United and 1.00 for Stockton Town.
What was the final score of Ashton United vs Stockton Town?
Ashton United 1-2 Stockton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Stockton Town?
Before kick-off our model rated an Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 28%, draw 29%, Stockton Town 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockton Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.