Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fram Reykjavik v Stjarnan — Team-Based Signals
Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Stjarnan edged past Fram Reykjavik 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (68%) came in.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 1.67 for Stjarnan.
What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?
Fram Reykjavik 2-3 Stjarnan in the Iceland - League Cup on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 31%, draw 26%, Stjarnan 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.