Valur vs Afturelding Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valur v Afturelding — Team-Based Signals
Valur vs Afturelding Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Valur 4-0 Afturelding — Actual Match Statistics
Valur cruised past Afturelding 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Valur had 73% of the ball to Afturelding's 27%, shots finished 5-1.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Valur and 1.00 for Afturelding.
What was the final score of Valur vs Afturelding?
Valur 4-0 Afturelding in the Iceland - League Cup on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valur vs Afturelding?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Valur 68%, draw 16%, Afturelding 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.