Ingolstadt 3-2 Havelse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.53
No
38%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
26%
2.57
6+ Goals
14%
6.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.01
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
15%
4.45
X/2
6%
10.1
X/X
13%
6.61
2/1 EV+ ✓
10%
18.9
2/2
12%
6.99
2/X
5%
15.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.9 — our 10% vs market 2.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.5pp
38%
BTTS No
39%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Havelse EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.94/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.88
+0% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.5 Crosses 15.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Havelse
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 20
9 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
421 Passes 192
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2025 Havelse Havelse 2-6 HT 2-2 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
3-2
AWAY Havelse
61% Ball Possession 39%
25 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
451 Passes 260
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Ingolstadt vs Havelse
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Ingolstadt edged past Havelse 3-2 in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21 Feb 2026. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was favoured at 62%.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 61% of the ball to Havelse's 39%, shots finished 25-13.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Havelse?

Ingolstadt 3-2 Havelse in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Havelse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 52%, draw 24%, Havelse 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ingolstadt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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