MSV Duisburg 3-1 Schweinfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 21 Feb 2026

MSV Duisburg
3-1 HT 3-0
Schweinfurt
📅21/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

MSV Duisburg vs Schweinfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.33
2-3 Goals
35%
1.86
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
16%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.7
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
5%
16.8
X/1
24%
3.94
X/2
6%
13.45
X/X
8%
6.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
20.45
2/2
6%
10.85
2/X
4%
19.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.45 — our 15% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
66%
+2.3pp
17%
Draw
20%
-2.4pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.8pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MSV Duisburg v Schweinfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Schweinfurt EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.74/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.80
-10% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -36%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.9 Crosses 16.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.6

MSV Duisburg vs Schweinfurt Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MSV Duisburg
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Schweinfurt
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
231 Passes 444
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
16.09.2025 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 0-3 HT 0-1 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
08.02.2002 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 2-2 HT 1-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL2
08.09.2001 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt AL2

MSV Duisburg 3-1 Schweinfurt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MSV Duisburg
3-1
AWAY Schweinfurt
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 0
FAQ MSV Duisburg vs Schweinfurt
Match summary & frequently asked questions

MSV Duisburg beat Schweinfurt 3-1 in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21 Feb 2026. Half-time: 3-0.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 62% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, MSV Duisburg had 48% of the ball to Schweinfurt's 52%, shots finished 14-8.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, MSV Duisburg have the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for MSV Duisburg and 0.67 for Schweinfurt.

What was the final score of MSV Duisburg vs Schweinfurt?

MSV Duisburg 3-1 Schweinfurt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MSV Duisburg vs Schweinfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split MSV Duisburg 68%, draw 17%, Schweinfurt 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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