Osnabrück 3-0 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.28
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.1
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
12%
5.08
X/2
10%
6.53
X/X
12%
4.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.0
2/2
12%
4.57
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
43%
+5.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.06/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.37
-37% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.4 Crosses 17.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
281 Passes 303
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2025 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
11.05.2025 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 3-1 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
15.12.2024 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
14.03.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 0-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
09.09.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
3-0
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
267 Passes 336
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Osnabrück vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osnabrück cruised past Rot-Weiss Essen 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Osnabrück as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Osnabrück had 47% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 53%, shots finished 16-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Osnabrück had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Osnabrück and 1.00 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of Osnabrück vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Osnabrück 3-0 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 48%, draw 24%, Rot-Weiss Essen 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osnabrück), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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