Ulm 1846 1-1 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 21 Feb 2026

Ulm 1846
1-1 HT 0-0
Saarbrücken
📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Ulm 1846 vs Saarbrücken Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.49
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.95
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
9%
6.57
X/2
18%
5.09
X/X
17%
4.98
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
16%
3.02
2/X
5%
12.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.95 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ulm 1846 v Saarbrücken — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 46%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.05/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.26
-21% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.9 Crosses 21.7
3.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Ulm 1846 vs Saarbrücken Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulm 1846
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Saarbrücken
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
277 Passes 408
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2025 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 3-1 HT 1-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3
19.12.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-1 HT 1-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3
06.08.2023 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 1-1 HT 1-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
28.09.2019 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-1 HT 2-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 ALMBÖL

Ulm 1846 1-1 Saarbrücken — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulm 1846
1-1
AWAY Saarbrücken
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
435 Passes 308
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
35 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Ulm 1846 vs Saarbrücken
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Ulm 1846 and Saarbrücken shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21 Feb 2026. Half-time: 0-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Ulm 1846 had 57% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 43%, shots finished 14-11.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ulm 1846 and 2.00 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Ulm 1846 vs Saarbrücken?

Ulm 1846 1-1 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulm 1846 vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 31%, draw 29%, Saarbrücken 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Saarbrücken), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
21 Feb 2026
16:00 Alemannia Aachen vs Verl Analysis →
16:00 Jahn Regensburg vs Wehen Wiesbaden Analysis →
16:00 MSV Duisburg vs Schweinfurt Analysis →
16:00 Ingolstadt vs Havelse Analysis →
16:00 Osnabrück vs Rot-Weiss Essen Analysis →