Hartberg vs Grazer AK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hartberg v Grazer AK — Team-Based Signals
Hartberg vs Grazer AK Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Hartberg 1-0 Grazer AK — Actual Match Statistics
Hartberg shaded a tight game against Grazer AK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Hartberg made the difference. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (60%) landed.
On the day, Grazer AK saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.21 to 0.49.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hartberg had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.60 a game for Hartberg against 0.40 for Grazer AK.
Hartberg vs Grazer AK Result & Final Score
Hartberg 1 - 0 Grazer AK in the Austria - Bundesliga on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hartberg vs Grazer AK Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hartberg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 37%, draw 31%, Grazer AK 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartberg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.