Jong Sparta 0-4 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
64%
1.4
No
36%
2.71
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
45%
4-5
27%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Jong Sparta The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis The Market 48%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.59 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.47
1.77 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.13
Great Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Great
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
294 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2025 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 1-3 HT 1-2 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
01.02.2025 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 2-0 HT 1-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
07.09.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-3 HT 0-2 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
18.05.2024 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 2-2 HT 1-2 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
09.12.2023 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-1 HT 0-1 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
0 - 4
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Jong Sparta vs Excelsior Maassluis
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Excelsior Maassluis dismantled Jong Sparta 4-0 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Excelsior Maassluis as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

The match data tells the story: Excelsior Maassluis saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 17-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Jong Sparta had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.20 a game for Jong Sparta against 0.60 for Excelsior Maassluis.

Jong Sparta vs Excelsior Maassluis Result & Final Score

Jong Sparta 0 - 4 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Jong Sparta vs Excelsior Maassluis Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Excelsior Maassluis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 33%, draw 23%, Excelsior Maassluis 44%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior Maassluis), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Excelsior Maassluis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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