Real Espana 4-3 Lobos UPNFM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
13%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.8
Over
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.07
No
52%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
47%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Real Espana The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos UPNFM The Market 18%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.14 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.83
0.91 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.10
Weak Attack Strength Bad
Strong Defense Strength Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
08.12.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
22.09.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 2-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
13.04.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 2-1 HT 2-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
14.02.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 3-4 HT 1-3 Real Espana Real Espana HON
01.12.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 0-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
23.09.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
REVIEW Real Espana vs Lobos UPNFM
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Real Espana found just enough to beat Lobos UPNFM 4-3. Half-time: 2-0. With 7 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Espana as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 48%. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.67, about 60%.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Espana had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Espana and 0.83 for Lobos UPNFM.

Real Espana vs Lobos UPNFM Result & Final Score

Real Espana 4 - 3 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Real Espana vs Lobos UPNFM Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 65%, draw 22%, Lobos UPNFM 13%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Espana) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Espana) ✗ BTTS No
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