Real Espana 2-0 Lobos UPNFM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 22 Sep 2025

📅22/09/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.68
No
40%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-3.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.5pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.68/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.79
-18% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.04.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 2-1 HT 2-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
14.02.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 3-4 HT 1-3 Real Espana Real Espana HON
01.12.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 0-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
23.09.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
04.04.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
04.02.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Lobos UPNFM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana saw off Lobos UPNFM 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Espana as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Espana had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Espana and 1.00 for Lobos UPNFM.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Lobos UPNFM?

Real Espana 2-0 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Lobos UPNFM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 55%, draw 23%, Lobos UPNFM 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Espana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Espana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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