CD Victoria 2-3 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 22 Sep 2025

📅22/09/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
5.91
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
72%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
49%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
14%
-1.9pp
16%
Draw
19%
-3.0pp
72%
Away Win
67%
+5.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 71%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
0.91/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/0.79
-5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CD Olimpia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
18.05.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-1 HT 1-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
15.05.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-2 HT 0-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
12.04.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
13.02.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
20.10.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-3 HT 4-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
12.08.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 3-1 HT 3-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia nicked a narrow win over CD Victoria 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Victoria and 1.83 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs CD Olimpia?

CD Victoria 2-3 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 12%, draw 16%, CD Olimpia 72%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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