İskoçya U21 4-1 Kazakistan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.07
Over
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.85
2-3
45%
1.83
4-5
22%
3.19
6+
8%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.85 — our 25% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
İskoçya U21 win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
70%
-8.1pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.2pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.6pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İskoçya U21 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Kazakistan U21 EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
1.75/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.81
-38% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +53%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
382 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.2
Crosses 5.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İskoçya U21
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Kazakistan U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
29.03.2022 Kazakistan U21 Kazakistan U21 2-2 HT 0-1 İskoçya U21 İskoçya U21 U21
12.11.2021 İskoçya U21 İskoçya U21 2-1 HT 1-0 Kazakistan U21 Kazakistan U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İskoçya U21
4-1
AWAY Kazakistan U21
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İskoçya U21 vs Kazakistan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İskoçya U21 swept aside Kazakistan U21 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İskoçya U21 as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İskoçya U21 had 69% of the ball to Kazakistan U21's 31%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, İskoçya U21 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for İskoçya U21 and 1.50 for Kazakistan U21.

What was the final score of İskoçya U21 vs Kazakistan U21?

İskoçya U21 4-1 Kazakistan U21 in the European U21 on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İskoçya U21 vs Kazakistan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a İskoçya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split İskoçya U21 62%, draw 20%, Kazakistan U21 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İskoçya U21) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İskoçya U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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