Belçika U21 3-1 Malta U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
72%
1.11
Draw
14%
8.78
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
4.0
Over
63%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1
19%
9.99
2-3
35%
2.53
4-5
28%
2.32
6+
18%
3.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
54%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Belçika U21 win — 72%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
85%
-13.7pp
14%
Draw
8%
+5.8pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
22%
+15.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
78%
-15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belçika U21 EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Malta U21 EU Bookmakers 9%
-21% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.27/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/3.94
-56% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -16%
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
571 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 72%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.9 Crosses 7.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belçika U21
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Malta U21
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
2.99 xG 0.13
71% Ball Possession 29%
24 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
627 Passes 163
91% Pass Accuracy 69%
44 Box Touches 3
31 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2023 Malta U21 Malta U21 0-2 HT 0-0 Belçika U21 Belçika U21 U21
07.09.2018 Malta U21 Malta U21 0-4 HT 0-2 Belçika U21 Belçika U21 U21
02.09.2016 Malta U21 Malta U21 2-3 HT 0-2 Belçika U21 Belçika U21 U21
09.10.2015 Belçika U21 Belçika U21 2-0 HT 0-0 Malta U21 Malta U21 U21
04.09.2009 Malta U21 Malta U21 0-1 HT 0-1 Belçika U21 Belçika U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belçika U21
3-1
AWAY Malta U21
2.36 xG 1.10
71% Ball Possession 29%
27 Total Shots 2
12 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
612 Passes 211
92% Pass Accuracy 75%
51 Box Touches 4
30 Crosses 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Belçika U21 vs Malta U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belçika U21 saw off Malta U21 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Belçika U21 as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Belçika U21 had 71% of the ball to Malta U21's 29%, shots finished 27-2, expected goals 2.36 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Belçika U21 had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Belçika U21 and 0.40 for Malta U21.

What was the final score of Belçika U21 vs Malta U21?

Belçika U21 3-1 Malta U21 in the European U21 on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belçika U21 vs Malta U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belçika U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Belçika U21 71%, draw 14%, Malta U21 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belçika U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belçika U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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