Portekiz U21 4-0 Faroe Adaları U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.11
Draw
17%
8.78
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
17%
14.8
2-3
39%
3.08
4-5
27%
2.3
6+
17%
2.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 14.8 — our 17% vs market 3.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Portekiz U21 win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
85%
-19.4pp
17%
Draw
8%
+9.0pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz U21 EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Faroe Adaları U21 EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
3.06/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/2.04
+4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +42%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
548 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 72%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.8 Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz U21
4-0
AWAY Faroe Adaları U21
73% Ball Possession 27%
22 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portekiz U21 vs Faroe Adaları U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz U21 swept aside Faroe Adaları U21 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Portekiz U21 as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Portekiz U21 had 73% of the ball to Faroe Adaları U21's 27%, shots finished 22-3.

What was the final score of Portekiz U21 vs Faroe Adaları U21?

Portekiz U21 4-0 Faroe Adaları U21 in the European U21 on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz U21 vs Faroe Adaları U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Portekiz U21 66%, draw 17%, Faroe Adaları U21 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz U21), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portekiz U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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