İsrail U21 1-2 Polonya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.91
Over
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.22
2-3
40%
1.78
4-5
21%
3.65
6+
8%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.22 — our 31% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İsrail U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonya U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
2.68/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/0.38
+135% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +102%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İsrail U21
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Polonya U21
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2023 Polonya U21 Polonya U21 2-1 HT 0-0 İsrail U21 İsrail U21 U21
24.03.2022 İsrail U21 İsrail U21 2-2 HT 0-1 Polonya U21 Polonya U21 U21
07.09.2021 Polonya U21 Polonya U21 1-2 HT 1-1 İsrail U21 İsrail U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İsrail U21
1-2
AWAY Polonya U21
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
POST-MATCH İsrail U21 vs Polonya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya U21 edged past İsrail U21 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Polonya U21 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İsrail U21 had 41% of the ball to Polonya U21's 59%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for İsrail U21 and 1.67 for Polonya U21.

What was the final score of İsrail U21 vs Polonya U21?

İsrail U21 1-2 Polonya U21 in the European U21 on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İsrail U21 vs Polonya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split İsrail U21 27%, draw 27%, Polonya U21 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonya U21) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonya U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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