Kuzey Makedonya U21 1-0 Cebelitarık U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
69%
1.16
Draw
16%
7.13
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.96
Over
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
37%
4-5
25%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Kuzey Makedonya U21 win — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-13.1pp
16%
Draw
11%
+5.0pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.8pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey Makedonya U21 EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Cebelitarık U21 EU Bookmakers 9%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.44/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/2.64
-17% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +9%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
557 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 3.2
Crosses 5.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey Makedonya U21
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Cebelitarık U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
16.10.2018 Kuzey Makedonya U21 Kuzey Makedonya U21 6-1 HT 2-0 Cebelitarık U21 Cebelitarık U21 U21
10.10.2017 Cebelitarık U21 Cebelitarık U21 1-0 HT 0-0 Kuzey Makedonya U21 Kuzey Makedonya U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey Makedonya U21
1-0
AWAY Cebelitarık U21
72% Ball Possession 28%
23 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kuzey Makedonya U21 vs Cebelitarık U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuzey Makedonya U21 nicked a narrow win over Cebelitarık U21 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kuzey Makedonya U21 as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Kuzey Makedonya U21 had 72% of the ball to Cebelitarık U21's 28%, shots finished 23-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Kuzey Makedonya U21 and 1.00 for Cebelitarık U21.

What was the final score of Kuzey Makedonya U21 vs Cebelitarık U21?

Kuzey Makedonya U21 1-0 Cebelitarık U21 in the European U21 on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey Makedonya U21 vs Cebelitarık U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kuzey Makedonya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Kuzey Makedonya U21 69%, draw 16%, Cebelitarık U21 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya U21), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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