Boulogne 2-1 Nimes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.14
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
5.12
6+ Goals
10%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.84
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
16%
4.3
X/2
9%
7.43
X/X
11%
3.7
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
13%
6.51
2/X
9%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boulogne EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Nimes EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.22/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.54
-14% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boulogne
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Nimes
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.10.2024 Nimes Nimes 2-0 HT 1-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
29.01.2011 Nimes Nimes 0-1 HT 0-1 Boulogne Boulogne FR2
17.08.2010 Boulogne Boulogne 2-1 HT 1-0 Nimes Nimes FR2
03.04.2009 Boulogne Boulogne 2-0 HT 2-0 Nimes Nimes FR2
24.10.2008 Nimes Nimes 0-1 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boulogne
2-1
AWAY Nimes
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boulogne vs Nimes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boulogne edged past Nimes 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Boulogne as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boulogne had 46% of the ball to Nimes's 54%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Boulogne had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Boulogne and 0.60 for Nimes.

What was the final score of Boulogne vs Nimes?

Boulogne 2-1 Nimes in the France - National League 1 on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boulogne vs Nimes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boulogne win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Boulogne 45%, draw 26%, Nimes 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boulogne) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boulogne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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