Dijon 2-1 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
1.93
2-3 Goals
47%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
6.04
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
3.91
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.9
X/1
18%
5.01
X/2
10%
5.62
X/X
14%
3.37
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
4.68
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 34%
+13% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.67/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.66
+39% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +88%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
235 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Valenciennes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.21 xG 1.01
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
334 Passes 350
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.10.2024 Valenciennes Valenciennes 2-0 HT 2-0 Dijon Dijon FR3
25.02.2023 Valenciennes Valenciennes 2-2 HT 0-0 Dijon Dijon FR2
13.01.2023 Dijon Dijon 2-1 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
12.03.2022 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-0 HT 0-0 Dijon Dijon FR2
24.09.2021 Dijon Dijon 0-1 HT 0-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
05.01.2020 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-2 HT 1-1 Dijon Dijon FRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon
2-1
AWAY Valenciennes
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dijon vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon edged past Valenciennes 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Dijon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dijon had 42% of the ball to Valenciennes's 58%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dijon and 1.17 for Valenciennes.

What was the final score of Dijon vs Valenciennes?

Dijon 2-1 Valenciennes in the France - National League 1 on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valenciennes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dijon 33%, draw 29%, Valenciennes 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valenciennes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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