Sochaux 2-1 Rouen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.88
No
62%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.5
2-3 Goals
33%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
21.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 41% vs market 32.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.36
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
14%
5.1
X/2
11%
6.51
X/X
16%
3.84
2/1
5%
30.5
2/2
10%
4.9
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.4pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sochaux EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rouen EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -8%
1.38/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.85
+6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
251 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sochaux
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Rouen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.10.2024 Rouen Rouen 0-0 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
04.03.2024 Rouen Rouen 1-0 HT 1-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
25.09.2023 Sochaux Sochaux 0-1 HT 0-1 Rouen Rouen FR3
POST-MATCH Sochaux vs Rouen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sochaux nicked a narrow win over Rouen 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sochaux as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rouen led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sochaux and 0.67 for Rouen.

What was the final score of Sochaux vs Rouen?

Sochaux 2-1 Rouen in the France - National League 1 on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Rouen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 41%, draw 30%, Rouen 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sochaux) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sochaux) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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