Le Mans FC 1-0 Paris 13 Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
15%
4.83
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.24 — our 39% vs market 36.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.58
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.75
X/1
12%
4.16
X/2
10%
8.27
X/X
19%
3.86
2/1
5%
30.5
2/2
10%
7.35
2/X
7%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.9pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.36/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.36
-12% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Mans FC
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2024 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 2-3 HT 0-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
24.02.2023 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 1-1 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
16.09.2022 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 4-0 HT 3-0 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Mans FC
1-0
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Le Mans FC vs Paris 13 Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC squeezed past Paris 13 Atletico 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Le Mans FC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Le Mans FC had 65% of the ball to Paris 13 Atletico's 35%, shots finished 11-2.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Le Mans FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Le Mans FC and 1.00 for Paris 13 Atletico.

What was the final score of Le Mans FC vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Le Mans FC 1-0 Paris 13 Atletico in the France - National League 1 on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Mans FC vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 44%, draw 30%, Paris 13 Atletico 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Mans FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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