Hartlepool United 1-0 Eastleigh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.03
Over
55%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.72
No
46%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.59
2-3
47%
1.76
4-5
25%
3.03
6+
6%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.13
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.95
X/1
20%
4.25
X/2
7%
9.62
X/X
14%
5.4
2/1
3%
21.8
2/2
9%
7.46
2/X
5%
15.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 3% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Hartlepool United The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastleigh The Market 23%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.94 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.16
0.94 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.92
Weak Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
141 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 123 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Eastleigh
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-2 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
08.03.2025 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-1 HT 1-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
16.11.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-0 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
23.03.2024 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-1 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
07.10.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 3-1 HT 1-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
13.03.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-0 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
1 - 0
AWAY Eastleigh
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Hartlepool United vs Eastleigh
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Hartlepool United squeezed past Eastleigh 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hartlepool United as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: possession split 60% to 40% in Hartlepool United's favour, shots finished 20-15.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Hartlepool United against 0.50 for Eastleigh.

Hartlepool United vs Eastleigh Result & Final Score

Hartlepool United 1 - 0 Eastleigh in the England - National League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hartlepool United vs Eastleigh Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 59%, draw 23%, Eastleigh 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartlepool United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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