Rochdale vs Tamworth Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rochdale v Tamworth — Team-Based Signals
Rochdale vs Tamworth Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Rochdale 3-2 Tamworth — Actual Match Statistics
Rochdale edged past Tamworth 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rochdale as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Rochdale had 65% of the ball to Tamworth's 35%, shots finished 19-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rochdale had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Rochdale and 0.75 for Tamworth.
What was the final score of Rochdale vs Tamworth?
Rochdale 3-2 Tamworth in the England - National League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Tamworth?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 68%, draw 23%, Tamworth 9%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.