Altrincham 1-0 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
53%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.44
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
21.3
1/X
7%
15.95
X/1
7%
9.62
X/2
15%
4.18
X/X
10%
5.63
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
26%
2.09
2/X
4%
14.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.3 — our 13% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
53%
Away Win
56%
-2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 60%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -6%
0.90/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.04
-20% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
277 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Southend United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 Southend United Southend United 3-0 HT 2-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
08.03.2025 Southend United Southend United 2-1 HT 2-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
16.11.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 2-0 HT 2-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
27.02.2024 Southend United Southend United 2-1 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
11.11.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 2-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
25.03.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 1-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
1-0
AWAY Southend United
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham squeezed past Southend United 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Southend United at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Altrincham had 45% of the ball to Southend United's 55%, shots finished 12-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Altrincham and 1.17 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Southend United?

Altrincham 1-0 Southend United in the England - National League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 25%, draw 22%, Southend United 53%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Southend United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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