Osasuna vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Osasuna v Girona — Team-Based Signals
Osasuna vs Girona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Osasuna 1-0 Girona — Actual Match Statistics
Osasuna came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Girona 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Osasuna as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: both teams to score (56%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Osasuna had 48% of the ball to Girona's 52%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.71 to 0.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Osasuna's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Osasuna and 2.17 for Girona.
Osasuna vs Girona Result & Final Score
Osasuna 1 - 0 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Osasuna vs Girona Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 46%, draw 27%, Girona 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osasuna) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.