Juve Stabia 3-1 Spezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 21 Mar 2026

Juve Stabia
3 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Spezia
📅21/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.2
Draw
33%
2.96
Away
25%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.61
Over
40%
2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.94
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.45
2-3
48%
1.73
4-5
16%
4.5
6+
3%
24.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.2
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
16%
4.95
X/2
10%
6.81
X/X
22%
3.69
2/1
2%
31.0
2/2
13%
5.28
2/X
5%
13.35
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Juve Stabia The Market 45%
Signal
AWAY Spezia The Market 31%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.35 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.18
0.78 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
Average Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juve Stabia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Spezia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.85 xG 1.59
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
267 Passes 308
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2025 Spezia Spezia 1-3 HT 0-2 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
12.01.2025 Spezia Spezia 1-1 HT 1-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
10.11.2024 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-3 HT 0-1 Spezia Spezia İTB
08.03.2020 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 3-1 HT 1-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
26.10.2019 Spezia Spezia 2-0 HT 1-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
01.02.2014 Spezia Spezia 1-1 HT 0-1 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juve Stabia
3 - 1
AWAY Spezia
3.34 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
440 Passes 325
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Juve Stabia vs Spezia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Juve Stabia saw off Spezia 3-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Juve Stabia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (60%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Juve Stabia had 56% of the ball to Spezia's 44%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 3.34 to 0.99.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Juve Stabia and 1.50 for Spezia.

Juve Stabia vs Spezia Result & Final Score

Juve Stabia 3 - 1 Spezia in the Italy - Serie B on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Juve Stabia vs Spezia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Juve Stabia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Juve Stabia 42%, draw 33%, Spezia 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juve Stabia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juve Stabia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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