Cesena 3-1 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 21 Mar 2026

Cesena
3 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Catanzaro
📅21/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.28
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
2.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.94
Over
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.17
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.55
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
24%
3.16
6+
6%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.37
1/2
2%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
15%
5.46
X/2
12%
6.11
X/X
16%
4.84
2/1
3%
25.0
2/2
18%
4.01
2/X
5%
12.7
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Cesena The Market 44%
Signal
AWAY Catanzaro The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.74 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.31
1.31 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.14
Average Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Great
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 81%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Catanzaro
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.32 xG 1.19
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
375 Passes 375
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.12.2025 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-0 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
17.05.2025 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-0 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
01.02.2025 Catanzaro Catanzaro 4-2 HT 3-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
28.08.2024 Cesena Cesena 2-0 HT 1-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
13.05.2006 Cesena Cesena 4-1 HT 4-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
10.12.2005 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-4 HT 0-2 Cesena Cesena İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
3 - 1
AWAY Catanzaro
1.82 xG 1.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
384 Passes 388
87% Pass Accuracy 90%
26 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Cesena vs Catanzaro
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cesena saw off Catanzaro 3-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

From a near-even 40% / 27% / 33% read, it was Cesena who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Cesena had 50% of the ball to Catanzaro's 50%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.82 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cesena and 1.67 for Catanzaro.

Cesena vs Catanzaro Result & Final Score

Cesena 3 - 1 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cesena vs Catanzaro Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cesena 40%, draw 27%, Catanzaro 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesena), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cesena) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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