Modena vs Mantova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Modena v Mantova — Team-Based Signals
Modena vs Mantova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Modena 2-1 Mantova — Actual Match Statistics
Modena nicked a narrow win over Mantova 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Modena as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, Mantova saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.65 to 0.84.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Modena against 0.67 for Mantova.
Modena vs Mantova Result & Final Score
Modena 2 - 1 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Modena vs Mantova Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Modena 61%, draw 23%, Mantova 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Modena) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.