Padova Calcio vs Palermo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Padova Calcio v Palermo — Team-Based Signals
Padova Calcio vs Palermo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Padova Calcio 0-1 Palermo — Actual Match Statistics
Palermo found just enough to beat Padova Calcio 1-0 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Palermo as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Padova Calcio had 65% of the ball to Palermo's 35%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.59 to 1.32.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palermo led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Padova Calcio and 1.33 for Palermo.
Padova Calcio vs Palermo Result & Final Score
Padova Calcio 0 - 1 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Padova Calcio vs Palermo Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 19%, draw 22%, Palermo 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.