Palermo vs Padova Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Palermo v Padova Calcio — Team-Based Signals
Palermo vs Padova Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Palermo 1-0 Padova Calcio — Actual Match Statistics
Palermo squeezed past Padova Calcio 1-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Palermo as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 47% on both teams scoring.
Under the surface, Padova Calcio saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.28 to 0.82.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palermo had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Palermo against 0.33 for Padova Calcio.
Palermo vs Padova Calcio Result & Final Score
Palermo 1 - 0 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 27/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Palermo vs Padova Calcio Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Palermo 63%, draw 23%, Padova Calcio 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.