Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 Suduva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Suduva EU Bookmakers 19%
-19% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -12%
1.46/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.39
-27% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Suduva
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.10.2025 Suduva Suduva 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
24.09.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
10.08.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-2 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITK
13.06.2025 Suduva Suduva 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
12.04.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
09.11.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-4 HT 0-1 Suduva Suduva LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
1-1
AWAY Suduva
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris and Suduva shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kauno Zalgiris at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 55% of the ball to Suduva's 45%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suduva led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.33 for Suduva.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva?

Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 Suduva in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 54%, draw 27%, Suduva 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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