Banga Gargzdai 0-1 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 34%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.45/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.62
-64% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FK Panevezys
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-2 HT 1-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
20.08.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
23.05.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
30.03.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
15.09.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-3 HT 1-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
29.06.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banga Gargzdai
0-1
AWAY FK Panevezys
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys nicked a narrow win over Banga Gargzdai 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Banga Gargzdai at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Banga Gargzdai had 47% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 53%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 1.33 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs FK Panevezys?

Banga Gargzdai 0-1 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banga Gargzdai win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 42%, draw 27%, FK Panevezys 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LITA More Lithuania - 1st Division
21 Mar 2026
15:15 Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva Analysis →