Banga Gargzdai 2-2 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.01/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.51
-18% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FK Panevezys
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
23.05.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
30.03.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
15.09.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-3 HT 1-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
29.06.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
11.05.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai and FK Panevezys shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was FK Panevezys at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 1.00 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs FK Panevezys?

Banga Gargzdai 2-2 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 32%, draw 27%, FK Panevezys 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Panevezys), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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