FK Dainava Alytus 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.09
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
67%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
27%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
17%
-1.9pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.0pp
67%
Away Win
63%
+3.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 67%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -23%
0.70/2.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.81
-29% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.08.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
25.05.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
06.05.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-6 HT 0-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITK
30.03.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
20.10.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-5 HT 0-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
27.09.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 HT 2-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Dainava Alytus and Zalgiris Vilnius shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Zalgiris Vilnius carried 67% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 2.83 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

FK Dainava Alytus 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 15%, draw 19%, Zalgiris Vilnius 67%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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