Suduva 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2025

📅27/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suduva EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 38%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.24/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.18
-2% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
341 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suduva
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
10.08.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-2 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITK
13.06.2025 Suduva Suduva 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
12.04.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
09.11.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-4 HT 0-1 Suduva Suduva LITA
17.08.2024 Suduva Suduva 1-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
POST-MATCH Suduva vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suduva edged past Kauno Zalgiris 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Suduva found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suduva had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Suduva and 0.67 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of Suduva vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Suduva 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suduva vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suduva win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Suduva 38%, draw 24%, Kauno Zalgiris 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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