FK Dainava Alytus 0-2 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2025

📅27/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.71
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
63%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
25%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
18%
-1.6pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.7pp
63%
Away Win
58%
+4.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 62%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
0.49/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.81
-50% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
234 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
10.08.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
14.06.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 2-2 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
12.04.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-2 HT 0-2 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
25.10.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-2 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
03.08.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
31.05.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-2 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen saw off FK Dainava Alytus 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 1.50 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen?

FK Dainava Alytus 0-2 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 17%, draw 21%, Hegelmann Litauen 63%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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