FK Dainava Alytus 2-2 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
51%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
27%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+8.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
51%
Away Win
63%
-12.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 67%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.42/2.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.60
-62% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +57%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
250 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
12.04.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-2 HT 0-2 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
25.10.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-2 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
03.08.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
31.05.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-2 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
09.04.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
26.08.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-2 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
2-2
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Dainava Alytus and Hegelmann Litauen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hegelmann Litauen at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, FK Dainava Alytus had 38% of the ball to Hegelmann Litauen's 62%, shots finished 14-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 1.50 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen?

FK Dainava Alytus 2-2 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 25%, draw 25%, Hegelmann Litauen 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ BTTS Yes
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