Hegelmann Litauen 0-1 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
10%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
70%
-1.0pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.3pp
10%
Away Win
12%
-1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 15%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.22/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.28
+13% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.06.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 2-2 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
12.04.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-2 HT 0-2 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
25.10.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-2 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
03.08.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
31.05.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-2 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
09.04.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Dainava Alytus nicked a narrow win over Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Hegelmann Litauen carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 1.17 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Hegelmann Litauen 0-1 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 69%, draw 21%, FK Dainava Alytus 10%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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