Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-0 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.46
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
13%
5.36
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.2
Over
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
43%
4-5
29%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados The Market 19%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
2.16 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.83
0.79 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.86
Strong Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Venados
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
28 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.10.2025 Venados Venados 1-0 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
11.01.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-2 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
27.07.2024 Venados Venados 1-1 HT 0-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
19.01.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-5 HT 0-2 Venados Venados MEK2
28.09.2023 Venados Venados 5-1 HT 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
05.01.2023 Venados Venados 1-0 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
2 - 0
AWAY Venados
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
REVIEW Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tepatitlán de Morelos beat Venados 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tepatitlán de Morelos as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (61%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Tepatitlán de Morelos had 39% of the ball to Venados's 61%, shots finished 16-12.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 2.50 for Venados.

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados Result & Final Score

Tepatitlán de Morelos 2 - 0 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 68%, draw 19%, Venados 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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