Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.05/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.07
-13% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
11.10.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
14.04.2025 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
17.08.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 1-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
18.02.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-2 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
19.11.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-3 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
02.06.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-2 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
1-0
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo nicked a narrow win over Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Racing Club Montevideo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 48% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 52%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 1.83 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 39%, draw 27%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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