Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Montevideo Wanderers v Danubio — Team-Based Signals
Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 Danubio — Actual Match Statistics
Montevideo Wanderers found just enough to beat Danubio 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Montevideo Wanderers made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Danubio saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 12-14.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Montevideo Wanderers against 1.17 for Danubio.
Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio Result & Final Score
Montevideo Wanderers 2 - 1 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 31%, draw 31%, Danubio 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.