Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montevideo Wanderers v Danubio — Team-Based Signals
Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Danubio
URU
Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 Danubio — Actual Match Statistics
Montevideo Wanderers edged past Danubio 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Montevideo Wanderers made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 40% of the ball to Danubio's 60%, shots finished 12-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.17 for Danubio.
What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio?
Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio?
Before kick-off our model rated an Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 33%, draw 27%, Danubio 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.