Cerro Largo vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro Largo v Deportivo Maldonado — Team-Based Signals
Cerro Largo vs Deportivo Maldonado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Cerro Largo
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Cerro Largo
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
Cerro Largo
URU
Cerro Largo 3-1 Deportivo Maldonado — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Largo saw off Deportivo Maldonado 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 40% — and on the day Cerro Largo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cerro Largo had 54% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 46%, shots finished 11-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cerro Largo and 0.00 for Deportivo Maldonado.
What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Cerro Largo 3-1 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Maldonado win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 30%, draw 31%, Deportivo Maldonado 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.