Colorado Springs 1-1 Indy Eleven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 28% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +13%
1.71/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.43
+21% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
16.5 Crosses 16.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Indy Eleven
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.49 xG 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
408 Passes 300
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
21.05.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
19.06.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-3 HT 2-1 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
1-1
AWAY Indy Eleven
0.71 xG 0.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
253 Passes 421
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Indy Eleven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs and Indy Eleven shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Colorado Springs at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 41% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 59%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.71 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Colorado Springs and 2.00 for Indy Eleven.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Indy Eleven?

Colorado Springs 1-1 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Indy Eleven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 44%, draw 27%, Indy Eleven 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Colorado Springs), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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