Chesham United 2-3 Slough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Apr 2025

Chesham United
2-3 HT 1-2
Slough Town
📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Chesham United vs Slough Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 27% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chesham United v Slough Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Slough Town EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -18%
1.33/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.90
-11% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Chesham United vs Slough Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesham United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Slough Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.12.2024 Slough Town Slough Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Chesham United Chesham United İCON
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Slough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slough Town edged past Chesham United 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Chesham United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Slough Town?

Chesham United 2-3 Slough Town in the England - Conference on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Slough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 43%, draw 28%, Slough Town 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chesham United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chesham United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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